Technological Singularity

Monday, February 4, 2008 | | |

When plotted on a logarithmic chart, 15 separate lists of paradigm shifts for major events in human history show a trend exponentially. Lists prepared by, among others, Carl Sagan, Paul D. Boyer, Encyclopaedia Britannica, American Museum of Natural History and the University of Arizona, compiled by Ray Kurzweil.
When plotted on a logarithmic chart, 15 separate lists of paradigm shifts for major events in human history show a trend exponentially. Lists prepared by, among others, Carl Sagan, Paul D. Boyer, Encyclopaedia Britannica, American Museum of Natural History and the University of Arizona, compiled by Ray Kurzweil.

The technological singularity is a case in the future various characterized by the creation of technological self-improvement of intelligence, unprecedented, rapid technological advances, or a combination of both. [1]

Statistician IJ first writing of "intelligence explosion", suggesting that if the machines could even slightly exceed the human intellect, they could improve their own designs in a way unseen by their designers, and thereby increase recursively self - very much intelligence. Vernor Vinge later called this event "singularity" as an analogy between the distribution of modern physics near a gravitational singularity and the drastic change in society argues it would occur after an explosion of information . In the years 1980, Vinge popularized the singularity in lectures, essays and science fiction. More recently, some researchers Amnesty International expressed concern about the potential dangers of Vinge singularity.

Others, most prominently Ray Kurzweil, define the singularity as a period of extremely rapid technological progress. Kurzweil argues such an event is implied by a long-term model to accelerate the widespread change that Moore's Law technology earlier the integrated circuit, which argues that it will continue with other technologies not yet invented.

Critics of Kurzweil interpretation to consider an example of static analysis, mentioning in particular the failure of forecasts of Moore's Law. Others note that the proponents of the "singularity" tend to ignore all the negative effects of technology, focusing only on the positive effects. The singularity also drew criticism from anarcho-primitivism and advocates protecting the environment.

After its introduction in Vinge's stories, the singularity has also become a common ground in any element of science fiction.

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